The effects of a US-China trade war on Sub-Saharan Africa: Pro-active domestic policies make the difference

dc.authorid0000-0001-6036-0559
dc.authorscopusid57200599101
dc.authorscopusid57214083720
dc.contributor.authorNantembelele, Fatuma Abdallah
dc.contributor.authorArı, Ali
dc.contributor.authorYılmaz, Mustafa Kemal
dc.contributor.otherYönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme Bölümü
dc.date.accessioned2023-08-21T13:07:37Z
dc.date.available2023-08-21T13:07:37Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.departmentİHÜ, Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme Bölümü
dc.departmentİHÜ, Lisansüstü Eğitim Enstitüsü, İşletme Ana Bilim Dalı
dc.description.abstractThis study simulates the impact of the change in trade policy between the US and China on the trade volume and economic prosperity of Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). To do that, we employ a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model based on the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) with different scenarios focusing on increases in tariffs. The results show that the tariff increases negatively affect the US and China in terms of trade volume and economic growth, while it leads to trade diversion and creation for the SSA. This offers valuable opportunities in improving exports and economic growth, particularly for Ethiopia, Kenya, and Nigeria. On the sectorial level, the findings imply that agriculture, food, and oil and gas sectors are positively affected in terms of export volume, while mineral, metal and service sectors are negatively impacted by the trade war.
dc.identifier.citationNantembelele, F. A., Yılmaz, M. K. ve Arı, A. (2023). The effects of a US-China trade war on Sub-Saharan Africa: Pro-active domestic policies make the difference. Journal of Policy Modeling, 1-15. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.06.002
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.06.002
dc.identifier.endpage15
dc.identifier.issn1618938
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85163847085
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ1
dc.identifier.startpage1
dc.identifier.urihttps://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.06.002
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12154/2321
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001125130700001
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ2
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Science
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.institutionauthorNantembelele, Fatuma Abdallah
dc.institutionauthorYılmaz, Mustafa Kemal
dc.institutionauthorid0000-0001-6036-0559
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Policy Modeling
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Öğrenci
dc.relation.publicationcategoryTezden Üretilmiş Yayın - Doktora Mezuniyet Şartı
dc.relation.publicationcategoryTezden Üretilmiş Yayın
dc.relation.publicationcategoryÖğrenci
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmz20240905
dc.subjectCGE
dc.subjectGTAP
dc.subjectSub-Saharan Africa
dc.subjectTrade Policy
dc.subjectTrade War
dc.titleThe effects of a US-China trade war on Sub-Saharan Africa: Pro-active domestic policies make the difference
dc.typeArticle
dspace.entity.typePublication
relation.isAuthorOfPublication9b408141-b1c4-485b-8f06-14ff4eccc6a7
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery9b408141-b1c4-485b-8f06-14ff4eccc6a7
relation.isOrgUnitOfPublicationc9253b76-6094-4836-ac99-2fcd5392d68f
relation.isOrgUnitOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryc9253b76-6094-4836-ac99-2fcd5392d68f

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