The effects of a US-China trade war on Sub-Saharan Africa: Pro-active domestic policies make the difference
dc.authorid | 0000-0001-6036-0559 | |
dc.authorscopusid | 57200599101 | |
dc.authorscopusid | 57214083720 | |
dc.contributor.author | Nantembelele, Fatuma Abdallah | |
dc.contributor.author | Arı, Ali | |
dc.contributor.author | Yılmaz, Mustafa Kemal | |
dc.contributor.other | Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme Bölümü | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2023-08-21T13:07:37Z | |
dc.date.available | 2023-08-21T13:07:37Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2023 | |
dc.department | İHÜ, Yönetim Bilimleri Fakültesi, İşletme Bölümü | |
dc.department | İHÜ, Lisansüstü Eğitim Enstitüsü, İşletme Ana Bilim Dalı | |
dc.description.abstract | This study simulates the impact of the change in trade policy between the US and China on the trade volume and economic prosperity of Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). To do that, we employ a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model based on the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) with different scenarios focusing on increases in tariffs. The results show that the tariff increases negatively affect the US and China in terms of trade volume and economic growth, while it leads to trade diversion and creation for the SSA. This offers valuable opportunities in improving exports and economic growth, particularly for Ethiopia, Kenya, and Nigeria. On the sectorial level, the findings imply that agriculture, food, and oil and gas sectors are positively affected in terms of export volume, while mineral, metal and service sectors are negatively impacted by the trade war. | |
dc.identifier.citation | Nantembelele, F. A., Yılmaz, M. K. ve Arı, A. (2023). The effects of a US-China trade war on Sub-Saharan Africa: Pro-active domestic policies make the difference. Journal of Policy Modeling, 1-15. https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.06.002 | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.06.002 | |
dc.identifier.endpage | 15 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 1618938 | |
dc.identifier.scopus | 2-s2.0-85163847085 | |
dc.identifier.scopusquality | Q1 | |
dc.identifier.startpage | 1 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.06.002 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12154/2321 | |
dc.identifier.wos | WOS:001125130700001 | |
dc.identifier.wosquality | Q2 | |
dc.indekslendigikaynak | Web of Science | |
dc.indekslendigikaynak | Scopus | |
dc.institutionauthor | Nantembelele, Fatuma Abdallah | |
dc.institutionauthor | Yılmaz, Mustafa Kemal | |
dc.institutionauthorid | 0000-0001-6036-0559 | |
dc.language.iso | en | |
dc.publisher | Elsevier | |
dc.relation.ispartof | Journal of Policy Modeling | |
dc.relation.publicationcategory | Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı | |
dc.relation.publicationcategory | Makale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Öğrenci | |
dc.relation.publicationcategory | Tezden Üretilmiş Yayın - Doktora Mezuniyet Şartı | |
dc.relation.publicationcategory | Tezden Üretilmiş Yayın | |
dc.relation.publicationcategory | Öğrenci | |
dc.rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess | |
dc.snmz | 20240905 | |
dc.subject | CGE | |
dc.subject | GTAP | |
dc.subject | Sub-Saharan Africa | |
dc.subject | Trade Policy | |
dc.subject | Trade War | |
dc.title | The effects of a US-China trade war on Sub-Saharan Africa: Pro-active domestic policies make the difference | |
dc.type | Article | |
dspace.entity.type | Publication | |
relation.isAuthorOfPublication | 9b408141-b1c4-485b-8f06-14ff4eccc6a7 | |
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery | 9b408141-b1c4-485b-8f06-14ff4eccc6a7 | |
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